I’m going to put together a number of reports today, which together I think form a picture of where things are at in the liberation of Ukraine.
Firstly, to dispel any illusions about the treatment of Ukraine POWs in Russian hands, and I think there is much video evidence of a similar nature, I share this post from Andrei Martyanov’s blog today, or actually my yesterday due to the time difference where I am. Andrei presents a video by reporter Sladkov taken inside one of the ‘temporary holding facilities’ for captive Ukraine soldiers. It shows the inmates being fed and they appear to be in generally good condition. None of them look happy, because they know they will not be going home for some while, but at least they are safe – pending investigation of atrocities some of them may have been engaged in. Others may be hospitalised for some time but I’m sure will receive better treatment than they would under their own regime. See the video and read more, here…
‘Feeding VSU POWs.’ – Martyanov blog.
Next, it seems that phase 2 of the Russian operation is now officially declared by none other than globally respected Russian Foreign Minister, Sergei Lavrov, only he wisely doesn’t attach a number to it and also refers to a ‘stage’ rather than ‘phase’…
So, let me ask a question in the form of the title of a very detailed update on the situation around the large cauldron (referred to in this piece as a ‘boiler’) of Ukraine forces still held in place in the western districts of the Donetsk People’s Republic – the last remaining large formation of the best Ukie troops there are. While it has been referred to as a ‘cauldron’ since the beginning, it has never been fully surrounded (because there have not been sufficient Russian troops available to contain such a large area but movement is restricted by Russian fire zones and of course air superiority) and it is therefore continually being resupplied and reinforced from the west – at great risk and cost (much of the NATO supplied armaments being destroyed between landing in Ukraine and reaching places it could be used.) The article I am sharing, both asks and answers the question – ‘What will the second phase of the special operation in Ukraine look like?’ – Evgeny Krutikov, for Moscow news sheet VZGLYAD (you will need a translator). It makes very interesting reading, and presents thoughts and facts of which I was not fully aware. The end result of course is not in doubt.
Perhaps another question worth answering is how is Russia’s intervention seen by the people of Ukraine? Well, it depends on where you ask that. In western regions of the country, which have never had a Russian connection you might get a different response but the people of the recently liberated district of Rozovsky, part of the Zaporozhye region to the west of the Donetsk region are petitioning to become part of the DPR – ‘Rozovsky district of Zaporozhye wanted to join the DPR’ – VZGLYAD – and it is not beyond imagination that the Donbass republics will eventually request to become part of the Russian Federation.
Finally, and because I want to get this out as news while it is still fresh news, I want to share another opinion, that of the Saker in his most recent personal note – even though he is overly fond of expressing his own personal religious foibles. It offers a slightly different view of these matters, and all of this goes together to enable us to build our own picture of the situation – conflict never being clear while in progress.
‘The 2nd phase of the Russian SMO + personal note’ – the Saker blog.
Be informed. Be aware. You are then less likely to be duped, or surprised.