Beware! The Cold is Coming.

It is just not certain exactly when that may arrive, in force. But one thing is certain, more people on Earth, even now, die from cold than from heat. But try telling that to a climate alarmist. No, on second thoughts, don’t bother. You would probably be wasting your time. But look at the facts given in the quote below…

In the United States and Canada, a recent Lancet study found that 20,000 people die each year from heat, but 170,000 die from cold. Globally, the study finds 4.5-million cold deaths, which is nine-times more than global heat deaths.

That quote is from the following article…

Cold is the Crisis They Forgot to Warn Us About – Climate-science.press – September 1, 2025


Having studied climate issues, privately, for quite some time now, first as an activist – in the times when that was not a popular point of view – and more recently as a doubter, and eventually (from a little over two years ago) as an activist against climate alarmism and even the thought that there is anything actually unusual about recent climate events. I am especially alarmed about the irresponsible theatrics of national governments, businesses and international organisations (the UN for example), now leaning towards manic pressure for everyone to become desperate in the face of climate challenges giving the impression that our modern way of life is in some danger or threat from the planet we live on. Nothing could be further from the truth. That truth being that we are ourselves (pointlessly as it turns out) trying to kill both the planet and ourselves with the ridiculous notion that ‘net-zero’ emissions of GDGs is necessary as some form of protective action. It is all a waste of time and effort, a) because it is entirely unnecessary, and b) because after years of fake attempts toward that mistaken goal, we have achieved absolutely nothing. The plain truth is that we never could – no matter if we really tried to do that. Aren’t we fortunate, that our puny efforts are all in vain! All is well. The planet, quite naturally and without our help (other than minute amounts of extra CO2 contributed by our modern living) is greening itself to become more productive and healthy. Noticeably so over the last few decades.

The short period of global warming (itself only a temporary and secondary cyclic climate effect) is now over to all intents and purposes. It reached a peak around 8-10,000 years ago and has been declining ever since. [Please note: There are no ‘hottest years ever’ during this or the previous century]. The only doubtful thing about all this being exactly when the next cold phase will begin. Allow me to explain that a little more.


Two years ago I became convinced that the current decade – 2021-2030 – would demonstrate that the rapid increase of Arctic sea ice loss this century appears to have been stopped dead in its tracks. The actual loss over the first two decades – 2001-2020 – has been around 2 million square kilometres (Km2) over Northern Summer, but only around 1 million Km2 over Winter. Since the ice melts and grows again every year, it is only the net loss (note this measure – ‘between’) between Winter/Summer peaks that we need to count, i.e. ~1 million Km2.

If, as seems now quite possible (we are now half way through the current decade), that expansion of sea ice melt has been slowed, stopped, or perhaps even reversed a little, that would be indicative of a slow-down, stoppage, or reversal of global warming, in real time, before our eyes. Unfortunately we have to wait until 2030 (early months of 2031) before we can make that claim with any strength, if at all. And even then, that hope could be dashed during the following decade.

There is absolutely no point in looking at this year to year. That is the mistake made by climate alarmists, the popular media and, let’s face it, even many modern climate scientists. Even decades are not much more reliable. Only centuries or millennia provide reasonably solid projections of this kind (if only we could wait for time to pass). Nevertheless, even current annual data can provide loose indications that some form of change may be in the air. And this is why I have made a monthly spreadsheet of the years progress over the past two years. It is the best we can do for now. But I am fully cognisant that it may also mean nothing at all. The next spreadsheet is due tomorrow (Sep 2), when the last data for the previous month is available. This month I will also be commenting on various predictions I made six weeks ago for just this time.


I have not said much about ‘the cold’. It is not a subject I warm to much, but you can rest assured it is a cold future we are entering some time soon – not a ‘boiling’ planet. Not that that will worry us who are alive today, too much. These changes take effect over a great many human generations of very gradual variation, undetectable and unnoticed by most humans. This is another aspect to climate change which modern scientists often forget, in their zeal to find something unique.


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