I wanted to illustrate what is going on with Arctic Sea Ice as at the end of August, but something is going on with the NSIDC organisation’s web site for the last day or so. A ‘technical difficulties’ is what they are calling it. I cannot deny the possibility that is what it is since I have experienced my own ‘technical difficulties’ from migrating (a kind of forced migration) from Windows 10 to Windows 11. A most dissatisfying experience where nothing much works as expected any more. You wouldn’t imagine the trouble I have had in getting the following two images to display here.
So, that is the story…
…but fortunately I took an image of the NSIDC Charctic Interactive Sea Ice graph on September 1, which includes the data for August 31, 2024. I did get a brief look at the data as at September 1, which stood at (if memory serves me right) 4.494 million Km2, but failed to get an image of that before the web-site went dark. This is not at all what the powers that be want to become known as it is not in keeping with their desire to keep the world believing in imminent climate catastrophe. And the data shows, now clearly, at least with 40% of the decade now in the books, that there is no climate catastrophe upcoming.
This is, to all intents and purposes, the end of the year for Arctic sea ice melt, with at most another quarter million Km2s to disappear before the end of September. With the figures for end of August we now have, the average of the four years of the current decade being 4.847 Km2 as at Sept 1 (I fortunately recorded all the numbers while the web-site was still up) – a figure which is way higher than the average for the previous decade, which I didn’t record, but appears to be less than 4.7 Km2.
At the beginning of this year I predicted that the current decade would see a complete halt in the amount of Summer ice melt in the Arctic Ocean and perhaps even a slight decrease of melting over the previous record decade. A trend which I believe will continue, growing stronger across every subsequent decade and (I didn’t go this far before) extending to permanently close the only recently reopened Northern sea route, extending gradually across all northern continents and on down to southern Europe, most of Russia and also North America. That is our future for possibly the next several millions of years or more. It is baked into the global climate story. There is to be no such thing – for as long as humans are present on this planet – as an overheated, sun-baked world. There will always be places, between the two tropics (as there always has been) where humans can find moderate climatic regions in which to live and thrive. That is exactly what the GMST (Global Mean Surface Temperature) records, going back over half a billion years, tell us. So there is no need to fear, humanity (at least a sensible humanity) will survive and likely thrive in such a world.
I have shown a couple of other, not entirely related things, in the chart above. First is the red-dashed line for the extreme limit for ice melt in 2012. I believe this is what started to climate madness we have today. It has never been repeated and never will be. But it stands at the point where, if the rapid increase in ice melt we have witnessed over the past two decades were to continue into the future, we would expect the current decade to be headed. We should all be grateful, even while undeserving, that this is not the case.
The second thing I have included is the average extent level of sea ice for each decade of satellite data – eighties, nineties, noughties and teenies, to give a picture of where we were going with sea ice melt – especially over the past two raucus decades. You will be able to see where we were headed, and how we were able to be panicked into a belief we were in some sort of danger. You should be relieved now, that this has been brought to a complete stop in the current decade. Now it is time to take a breath and think again, more clearly, about where we stand. And where we stand is that the modern modest warming period (baked in as part of a mini-cycle) is now over and we will continue with the long-term cooling of our planet home. That cooling will reach such low temperatures as we may not like, and we are likely to need to move to warmer climes, which when the time comes, will be ready to accept our migrations, as I point out below.
As I have tried to relate here and in several posts in recent past, the past race towards higher rates of ice melting appears to have now stopped and there are signs it is even in reverse. How did that happen when we are supposed to be in an overheating world? Well, it was evidently nothing to do with us to start with. And it reveals the lie that our world is heating, out of control, at all in modern times. Such thinking has distracted us from what we should be doing. Which is a) getting along better together (that means less wars), and b) moving to more warmer climes. The warmer climes we now have are mostly desert areas. That will change as increasing CO2 permits stronger vegetation growth and more fertile land opening up areas we have not previously considered as potential places to live. CO2 is essential for that, as past records show. This is something we can help with, by introducing more natural agricultural and industrial practices and more natural and cultural remedies for our ills, replacing all the detrimental – actually destructive – methods we have developed in modern times, with more beneficial ones that literally do not cost the Earth.
This is still a beautiful world, and it will be saved, naturally, whether we assist in that or not, and whether we are still here, or not. I know I will not be here to see that world, and the same goes for most of us alive today. So, forget your own problems – and ambitions – and work toward a better world for tomorrow’s children.
Keep checking the NSIDC site. It will come back soon, I’m sure.
Not Something Else 
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