I want to answer two questions today around the issues of climate Change. They are questions I have posed to myself, arising from what appear to be logical inconsistencies in the reasoning we need to make if we are to deal honestly in treating correctly what is actually a natural phenomenon.
Everyone, whether consciously or not, whether informed by factual basis or simply hearsay, has a view about climate and whether it is out of control, disturbed or not by human activity, and if so, what should be done about it.
I would argue that the climate is not out of control, is not disturbed in any great measure by human activity, and therefore nothing need be done about it. I would further argue that even if any or all those things were true, there is still nothing we can do that would make the situation any better. But on what basis do I make those assertions?
Firstly, and this is perhaps the most important question, is the climate out of control? The answer is a resounding, No. It is obviously a little perturbed, producing activity which could be viewed as dangerous to mankind and other living forms on the planet. But we all get a little perturbed at times don’t we, when pulled in different directions by circumstances. At which times it is natural to want to lay blame for any inconvenience being encountered, usually on someone or something else, when really there is no blame for the disturbance at all. It is just the interactions of different things as part of life. It will usually pass and be forgotten.
This is exactly what is happening with our planetary climate at this time. I will explain that further but we need to know that this also will pass. It is entirely natural and the planet is acting entirely within the range of parameters, heat, cold, ocean levels, weather, drought, flood, earth movement, wind, storm, volcanic activity, that it always has been limited to acting within. There is nothing unusual on the agenda – despite the loud voices proclaiming disaster and chaos, which are in themselves disturbing and dangerous. Especially if they influence us to make efforts that are against nature and the natural order of things.
It all boils down to this… The planet has for many tens to hundreds of millions of years now, been on a cooling trajectory. Dipping from what is the recorded maximum temperature range down to approaching its lowest, coldest level the Earth has ever known. We are nearing the bottom of that cooling period right now (only a couple °C to go). This has all happened before across the billions of years of Earth’s history, many times. It is entirely natural and there is no stopping it by any form of human activity.
“Wait,” you say, “I thought the planet was growing unbearably hot, not cooling”. Yes, you are right of course, it is, in places. And that is important to note. Other places are just as cold as they ever were before we recognised the increasing heat. And let’s be honest, we have only recognised that as a phenomena over the past several decades – while it has been ongoing (building up) for thousands of years. It is, quite naturally, just another natural occurrence. An event which has been ongoing for slightly longer than humanity has taken to form, as far as we know, its first organised and eventually self-governed civilisation. That ‘heatwave’ actually began, from the Earth’s basement level of cooling (around 10°C GMST) some 16-17,000 years ago at the end of the Pleistocene era as the Earth transitioned into the current Holocene. This warming period was interrupted several times by periods of sudden climate change, which we know as the three ‘Dryas’ events (Oldest, Older and Younger), at least one of which we know was caused by cosmic activity – the only way sudden climate impacts can naturally occur (that is, from external intervention). Following those interruptions, global temperatures rose some 5-6°C across the intervening 13,000 years to today. And here is the crux of the matter…
I believe we are now at the peak of that warming period (past sub-cycle precedent informs that belief) – which has carried on, as it was destined to do, as part of a series of sub-cycles (generally of around 120,000 years in periodicity) in climate activity, in spite of the general background planetary cooling. But it is the background cooling which carries the most weight and influence. Minor cyclic variations cannot prevent that cooling from happening – until it is ready to undergo change in itself. It is my belief that we are witnessing that inflection point where cooling slows, stabilises, and then begins a new loop of planetary warming again (the whole inflection point unfolding across millions of years of course). I repeat this has happened a number of times in the past – none of which (as far as we know) has been witnessed by sentient beings like ourselves (although such possibilities exist). Why do I think this is happening now? Well, for a number of reasons. First, because what usually happens when two massive forces try to operate in the same space. Global warming (or, more precisely, Regional warming – the whole planet is not affected) is butting heads with Global Cooling. Such conditions are bound to produce anomalous results. And since it is opposing climate features we are talking about, those results are most likely to reveal themselves in the realms of weather and ocean and land trauma. Isn’t that really what we are seeing? And all we are seeing? Of course there are offshoots in terms of human, animal and plant health and sustenance. Humanity has never known such levels of trauma within supposedly stable and controlled societies as we witness today. Turbulence and chaos is everywhere. But there is hope.
The events I have discussed here, the turnings, the changes, the scale of the issues, all are not to scale with human desires, intellect, and expectation. They are all long-term events which we, with our simple minds and all too brief experience find difficult to comprehend, let alone deal with. We run around like ‘headless chucks’, dreaming up pointless schemes like recycling, renewable (sic) energy, EVs, PVs, ugly windmill things, etc., instead of sitting down to plausibly analyse the real situation. Of course there are other drivers to all this pointless activity. Particularly the need to maintain the status quo no matter the risks of the solutions we propose. We will eventually kill ourselves in attempting to save ourselves. And all for nothing. And those of us who now witness the beginning of this, for us, seemingly endless event of change, will have long been consigned to being just part of the dust of the planet, ere it ends.
In my recent posts I have endeavoured to show that we have reached the beginning of the end for global, sorry, regional warming (it is only global in terms of the one average temperature – the Global Mean Surface Temperature or GMST). One of the major evidences of the supposed coming chaos has been the rapid increase in melting of Arctic Sea Ice. I have demonstrated, as far as possible at this time (a subject for constant monitoring), using decadal averages for ice melt extent, that the slide to an ice-free Arctic has been stopped in its tracks – and perhaps even slightly been reversed during the current decade. This, as it unfolds (it is by no means certain as yet but looks hopeful), will be a huge blow to the climate alarmist fake message of doom for us and the planet.
OK. I said I had two questions, but I have written enough for today, I think, on just one of them. That, and the fact that I cannot remember at this point in time exactly what my other question was (it will come to me again, I’m sure – it’s a big subject), means I am going to finish here, for now.
Not Something Else 
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